Unheralded

JIM FUGLIE: View From The Prairie — What The Hell Just Happened?

That headline is a reprisal of the one I wrote in this space eight years ago, when Doug Burgum dashed the hopes of Wayne Stenehjem ever becoming governor of North Daktoa, by beating him the June 2016 primary. As I wrote then, I didn’t see that one coming.

OK, so much for my Predictability Quotient. Well, actually, it’s not too bad. I just missed a big one. I said we were going to have a woman president. Boy, did I miss that one by a mile.

I have to say, I was pretty confident all along that Donald Trump was not going to be elected president of the United States. Dang. How did that happen?

Well, if North Dakota is any barometer, I can figure it out. Donald Trump got 67 percent of the vote here, a slightly larger percentage than he got in his 2020 race against Joe Biden.

Across the Red River in Minnesota, where traditionally Democrats do pretty well, the Kamala Harris-Tim Walz team snuck across the finish line with 51 percent of the vote, with almost half of Minnesota voters forsaking having one of their own as vice president of the United States, joining Hubert Humphrey and Walter Mondale.

Over there, the upcoming legislative session is going to be something to behold. Democrats hold a slim 34-33 majority in the State Senate, while the House is going to be tied at 67-67, pending the outcome of recounts in two House races. The DFL candidate leads by a slim margin in each of those races, so if one of the recounts goes the other way, the Republicans would control the House, 68-66.That would leave one chamber controlled by each party by one vote. Wow!

The good news is Tim Walz will still be down the hall in the governor’s office with pen in hand, instead of presiding over the U.S. Senate in Washington, D.C. But on my side of the Red River, we’re probably going to be rid of our governor, Doug Burgum, who’s likely to be a member of Donald Trump’s cabinet. That’s why he’s logged a few hundred thousand air miles campaigning for Trump. I probably should have expected a Trump win Tuesday. I should have listened to my own words, which I wrote on my blog four years ago “Nobody ever got rich betting against Doug Burgum.”

I said, only half-jokingly, to a friend this week after hearing the election results and surmising that was going to catapult Burgum to our nation’s capital, that’s going to improve the quality of both North Dakota and Washington. Only half-jokingly. I think sending smart North Dakotans to the White House is probably a pretty good idea.

But back to the state capitols. While the Democrats are going to have something to say about what happens in Minnesota, that’s not the case in North Dakota. Democrats here just suffered through the worst election since the merger of the Democratic Party and the Nonpartisan League back in the 1950s.

Consider:

There were eight statewide offices on the ballot Tuesday, and Republicans won them all. I know, I know the state superintendent race is nonpartisan, but in that race, Kirsten Baesler was the lesser of two evil Republicans. Her opponent tried to play off on the last names of two of his popular cousins, Heidi and Joel. Didn’t work.

It’s not the first time the GOP has swept the statewide races. Democrats didn’t even put up candidates in a couple of them, including, for the second election in a row, letting our giant Insurance Commissioner Jon Godfread run unopposed. What’s up with that? Are they afraid of the guy because he’s so big? (I heard once that, at 6-10, he’s the tallest statewide elected official in America.)

But the saddest story in North Dakota was the legislative races. There were 76 legislative seats up for grabs Tuesday, a little more than half the chamber because of some redistricting problems and the death of one House member.

Seventy-six.

The Republicans won 68 of those.

The Democrats won eight.

You read that right, 68-8.

In the upcoming legislative session, there will be 83 Republicans and 11 Democrats in the House, and 42 Republicans and just five Democrats in the Senate.

That’s really embarrassing. Especially for a Democrat. Especially for a Democrat like me, who used to work for that party. And still votes for it.

I hate to say this, but for all intents and purposes, there no longer is a Democratic-NPL Party in North Dakota. I don’t know how that happened, but I blame it mostly on a lack of leadership. All the headers in the party got old and turned it over to a new generation, and the party of Bill Guy and Quentin Burdick and Art Link and George Sinner and Byron Dorgan and Kent Conrad and Myron Just and Byron Knutson and Bruce Hagen and Sarah Vogel and Heidi Heitkamp and Richard Backes and Buckshot Hoffner and Francis Barth and the Pomeroy brothers has ceased to exist.

Not only is that sad for the few remaining members of that party who remain, but it’s sad for North Dakota because unchecked power in a one-party state does not make for good government. I am afraid for our future.

That one-party status doesn’t just apply to the Legislature and the statehouse. It is reflected in the vote for president this week as well.

In piling up two-thirds of the vote in North Dakota, Donald Trump carried 51 of our 53 counties. Only Rolette and Sioux counties, both reservation counties, gave the race to the Harris/Walz team. And of the other 51, only three — Benson (also home to a reservation), Cass and Grand Forks gave Trump less than 60 percent. And not by much.

In spite of being convicted of 34 felonies just a couple of months ago, Trump seems to be getting more and more popular in North Dakota with every election. He got 67 percent this year, compared to 65 percent in 2020 and 63 per cent in 2016.

Compare.

Mitt Romney got 58 percent in 2012, and John McCain just 53 percent in 2008. And those were against a black guy from Chicago. Go figure. Well, at least Trump won’t be running again in 2028. Although I think he’s threatened to do away with at least half of the U.S. Constitution. So we’ll see.

Nearly half the counties (including every county west of the Missouri River) gave Trump more than 80 percent. If you walk down the street in Logan, McIntosh, Kidder, McHenry, Wells, Sheridan, McKenzie, Emmons, Grant, Oliver, Stark, Renville, Burke, Dunn, Adams, Billings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Hettinger, Williams, Slope or Mercer counties, four out of every five people you meet will have voted for Trump. In fact, in Slope (the least populated county in the state, thank goodness), the vote was 351 for Trump and just 33 for Harris. That’s nine out of every 10. 90 percent. Uffda. (By the way, I know who one of those 33 Harris voters was. I’d like to meet the other 32.) I think I need a trip to the Bad Lands.

A bright spot: Of the eight Democratic-NPL candidates who actually won legislative seats, four of them were Native Americans. So there will be four Native Americans in the 2025 Legislature. I don’t think that’s ever happened before. Including the colorful Sen. Richard Marcellais, who bounced back after losing his last race. He makes the Senate fun.

And one final note: Maybe, just maybe, we’ve seen the last of Rick Becker.




2 thoughts on “JIM FUGLIE: View From The Prairie — What The Hell Just Happened?”

  • Richard Henry Watson November 8, 2024 at 2:53 pm

    yep–I’m taking a walk, ala John Prine

    Reply
  • John Burke November 8, 2024 at 10:28 pm

    It’s a sad, sad outcome for America and North Dakota. I am gob-smacked that 67%–or anybody for that matter–would vote for a convicted felon who has become a huckster of Bibles, coins, gold tennis shoes, etc., and whose additional transgressions are too numerous to list here. He epitomizes the reasons that the Founders set up the Electoral College, which has completely lost its original purpose. I wish I could also take a walk, ala John Prine.

    Reply

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